Showing posts with label new york 10 day weather forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label new york 10 day weather forecast. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

10 day weather forecast for nyc

 Storm Surge Flooding in New York City

iWitness Weather: JordanF05

Flooding near Avenue C and 14th street in New York City.

    With the first high tide cycle Monday morning, significant coastal flooding inundated many locations in southern New Jersey.
    During the second high tide cycle Monday evening, storm surge flooding inundated portions of the New York City area. Water was reported to be three feet deep in 4 New York plaza and six feet deep outside. Large amounts of water flooded the path train system under the Hudson River. WNBC reported that water was up to the attics of homes on Staten Island with rescues ongoing. FDNY engine 206 headquarters on Grand Street was evacuated by boats. An iWitness Weather photo showed flooding near Avenue C and 14th street in New York City. A tweet sent by @MTAinsider showed water in the Hugh L. Carey Tunnel (Brooklyn Battery Tunnel).
    Early Tuesday morning, a levee break along the Hackensack River in Moonachie, N.J., prompted evacuations. Up to six feet of water was reported in parts of Moonachie, Little Ferry, Hackensack, and South Hackensack. The levee break was caused by storm surge that pushed upriver.
     A new storm tide record of 13.88 feet was set at The Battery in New York City on Monday evening. The old record was 11.2 feet in 1821. Tide levels in Sandy Hook, N.J. topped the previous record from the Dec. 1992 Nor'easter and Hurricane Donna in 1960!
    Coastal flooding will continue through additional tide cycles beyond Monday's peak into Tuesday afternoon, in some areas!
    Tuesday's astronomical high tides at The Battery are at 9:07 a.m. and 9:33 p.m.

(MORE: New York area impacts)
2: Hurricane-Force Wind Gusts
Location    Top Wind Gust
Eatons Neck, N.Y.    96 mph
Tuckerton, N.J.    88 mph
Westerly, R.I.    86 mph
Madison, Conn.    85 mph
Wellfleet, Mass.    81 mph
New York, N.Y. (JFK airport)    79 mph

    Wind gusts of 60 to 80+ mph were reported from Maine to New Jersey and Maryland. Wind gusts topped 60 mph in Boston and 75 mph in New York City.
    Downed trees, powerlines and other wind-related damage have been reported in Maine, Mass., Conn., R.I., N.Y., N.J., Pa., Vt., N.H. and Ohio.
    The threat of downed trees, powerlines and power outages will continue through Tuesday, especially farther west over the Great Lakes region where the strongest winds will occur.

(MORE: Sandy's status and forecast impacts | City-by-city impacts)
3: Nearly Nine Million Without Power

    As of 6 a.m. Tuesday, The Weather Channel and weather.com News Desk reports that 8.9 million customers are without power from Sandy.

(LATEST NEWS: NY, NJ and CT | Mid-Atlantic | New England)
4: Appalachian Blizzard
Background

    The largest amount of snow reported as of early Tuesday morning was 18 inches in Davis, W.V. Up to ten inches of snow was measured as far south as Newfound Gap, Tenn. at an elevation of 5,000 feet. In Russell County, Va., nine inches of snow was reported on Big A Mountain. Mount Davis in southwestern Pa. saw nine inches of snow. In far western Maryland, Oakland reported 12 inches of snow.
    Blizzard conditions were reported in Tucker Co. and Preston Co., W.V.
    Coupled with the high winds we mentioned earlier, the threat of downed trees, power outages, and, due to the weight of the heavy, wet snow, roof collapses exists with this storm.  Whiteout conditions are possible, at times.  Travel will be difficult, if not impossible. 

(INTERACTIVE:  Radar | Winter Weather Alerts)
5: What's Next?

Lingering Winds Will Hamper Power Crews -

This storm won't sweep out to sea quickly, but slowly, painfully wind down over the next few days. 

Tuesday's winds will still be strong (though not nearly as much as Monday) over much of the Mid-Atlantic states and Northeast.  They'll also be brisk, and particularly strong downwind of the Great Lakes Tuesday into the Ohio Valley and Appalachians. 

Lakeshore flooding along the south shores of Lakes Michigan and Lake Erie will likely continue.

While winds take another demonstrative downward step Wednesday, they'll still be pesky enough to potentially hamper power restoration efforts, particularly along the seaboard from southern New England to the Outer Banks, as well as the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes Hurricane.

Winds will continue to wind down gradually through the rest of the week, being the most pesky downwind of the Great Lakes, Long Island, the Jersey Shore, Delmarva, Cape Cod and Martha's Vineyard.

Behind the storm, cold air will be dragged into many of the areas that have the risk of losing power.

Expect early morning lows to bottom out in the 30s from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley into the Tennessee Valley and Appalachians into the interior Northeast, with 40s for lows encroaching into lower elevations of the Mid-Atlantic States by Wednesday morning.

Daytime highs will only rise into the 40s and 50s over much of the areas that may be without power through much of the rest of the work week.

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10 day weather forecast for nyc

10 day weather forecast nyc

More than 50 million people from the mid-Atlantic to New England braced Saturday for a potentially massive storm, as Hurricane Sandy churned northward on a collision course with another storm system that is sweeping in from the west.
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Related

The Lede: Coastal Surge Forecast From Hurricane Sandy Prompts Evacuations (October 27, 2012)
The Lede Blog: Major Power Failures Expected Across Northeast (October 27, 2012)
City Room: M.T.A. Chief Announces Storm Plan for Subways, Buses and Commuter Trains (October 27, 2012)
Times Topic: Hurricanes and Tropical Storms (Hurricane Sandy)

Thousands of people were evacuated from low-lying areas, governors across the region declared states of emergency, and federal officials issued urgent warnings for people to prepare, saying that the storm’s impact would stretch to the Ohio Valley.  The storm was bringing wind and rain Sunday morning to the North Carolina coast.

While tracking models showed the center of Hurricane Sandy likely to make landfall late Monday evening or early Tuesday, the director of the National Hurricane Center, Rick Knabb, said that the weather was expected to worsen well before then, with high winds and heavy rains starting to batter the region as early as Sunday night. The exact path of the storm was unclear, complicating preparation efforts. In its latest report on Sunday morning, the hurricane center said the storm was about 260 miles  southeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C., and moving northeast. Federal officials, in a briefing with reporters on Saturday afternoon, could not say for certain where the impact would be the worst — only that it would be major. More than 60,000 National Guard troops in nine states were ready to assist the local authorities.

In New York City, officials announced contingency plans to begin shutting down the subways and regional rail lines starting at 7 p.m. Sunday, a decision they will make only if it looks like storm surges will be severe. They also announced plans to close the bridges if there were sustained winds over 60 miles per hour.

Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg of New York told residents to stay out of city parks starting on Sunday and to stock up on basic supplies. All construction was ordered to be suspended starting on Saturday night.

On Long Island, the Town of Islip ordered the mandatory evacuation of residents in low-lying areas, including Fire Island, by Sunday afternoon. Similar orders were issued in other coastal areas.

From Plymouth, Me., to Cape Hatteras, N.C., residents boarded up windows; stocked up on water, batteries and food; and prepared to hunker down. Airlines encouraged people with flights scheduled in the next few days to change their plans and waived cancellation fees.

At supply stores across the region, generators and other goods were snapped up in preparation for the possibility of extended power failures.

Sandbags joined the Halloween scarecrows along Main Street in Hightstown, N.J., on Saturday as business owners who suffered flood damage during Hurricane Irene last year braced themselves.

At a Home Depot in Yonkers, where propane cylinders were prominently displayed near the cash registers, generators were sold out by 6:30 on Saturday morning, within 30 minutes of opening, said Kareem Hiland, a store employee. “The line for them was out the door,” he said. “For batteries, too.”Experts warned that even if Hurricane Sandy decreased in strength, it would remain a danger because of the unusual convergence of several weather systems.

A system known as a midlatitude trough — which often causes severe winter storms — is moving across the country from the west. It is expected to draw in Hurricane Sandy, giving it added energy. A burst of arctic air is expected to sweep down through the Canadian Plains just as they are converging. That could lead to several feet of snow in West Virginia and lighter amounts in Pennsylvania and Ohio.

The full moon on Monday could cause even greater flooding, with tides at their peak Hurricane Sandy.

The hurricane was forecast to come ashore between the Delmarva Peninsula and Long Island. But as it continued to churn north, it began to spread out, with tropical storm-force winds extending about 520 miles from its center. On Saturday, it was still moving slowly north and had yet to make its predicted westward swing, at which point it will likely become clearer where it will make landfall.

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10 day weather forecast nyc

10 day weather forecast in nyc

A tropical wave was moving westward through the eastern Caribbean Sea on October 19, 2012. It had an extended low pressure area, and conditions were expected to gradually become more favorable for development. On October 20, the system became better organized, and the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) assessed a high potential for it to become a tropical cyclone within 48 hours.[8] By the next day, the associated convection, or thunderstorms, had become minimal, although barometric pressure in the area remained low, which favored development. The thunderstorms gradually increased, while the system slowed and became nearly stationary over the western Caribbean. At 1500 UTC on October 22, the NHC initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Eighteen about 320 mi (515 km) south of Kingston, Jamaica. This was based on surface observations and satellite imagery, which indicated the system had developed enough organized convection to be classified.


Satellite image of Hurricane Sandy near Jamaica landfall
When the tropical depression formed, it was in an area of weak steering currents south of a ridge extending eastward from the Gulf of Mexico. Low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures were conducive to strengthening and rapid deepening. Late on October 22, a Hurricane Hunters flight observed winds of 40 mph (64 km/h) in a rainband, which prompted NHC to upgrade the depression to Tropical Storm Sandy.[13] Outflow increased, while moist atmosphere helped the convection organize further. NHC noted that "remaining nearly stationary over the warm waters of southwestern Caribbean Sea is never a good sign for this time of year." Still, the cloud pattern initially remained largely the same.[15] Early on October 24, an eye began developing. By that time, Sandy was moving steadily northward, drawn by a trough approaching from the northwest.[16] At 11:00 a.m. EDT (1500 UTC) on October 24, the NHC upgraded Sandy to hurricane status after the Hurricane Hunters observed flight-level winds of 99 mph (159 km/h). At the time, Sandy was about 65 mi (105 km) south of Kingston, Jamaica.


Evening photo of Sandy on October 28
At about 3:00 p.m. EDT (1900 UTC) on October 24, Sandy made landfall near Kingston with winds of about 80 mph (130 km/h).Just offshore Cuba, Sandy rapidly intensified into a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale with 110 mph (175 km/h) winds. Shortly thereafter at 1:25 a.m. EDT (0525 UTC), the hurricane struck Cuba just west of Santiago de Cuba.At landfall, Sandy had a well-defined eye of over 23 mi (37 km) in diameter, and flight-level winds reached 135 mph (216 km/h). While over land, the structure deteriorated and the eye was no longer visible. After Sandy exited Cuba, dry air and increasing shear restricted the outflow and caused the structure to become disorganized.A mid-level low over Florida turned the hurricane toward the north-northwest.By early on October 26, most of the convection was sheared to the north of the center, and the size of the storm increased greatly. By the next day, the NHC remarked that Sandy was "showing characteristics of a hybrid cyclone... like an occluded frontal low." However, the system maintained a warm thermal core, and despite strong 60 mph (95 km/h) wind shear, the hurricane continued to develop thunderstorms due to good divergence from a nearby trough; the same trough turned Sandy toward the northeast. On October 27, Sandy briefly weakened to a tropical storm, after dry air became fully ingested into the mid- and upper-level circulations. Later that day, however, wind reports from the Hurricane Hunters indicated that Sandy tropical wave -intensified into a hurricane.

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10 day weather forecast in nyc